By Stephen Brown, Ian Smillie in Embassy Mag. 9/21/2011
For instance, as Canada winds down its military involvement in Afghanistan,
the Canadian International Development Agency will be "normalizing" aid to a
level comparable to its 19 other "countries of focus." This confirms a
poorly-kept secret: aid to Afghanistan was always more about Canadians, candy
and Kandahar than about sustainable long-term development.
With aid levels frozen, there will be fierce competition for the freed-up
funds. We should probably expect new assistance to Libya, where Canadian
companies are already jockeying for important reconstruction and oil contracts.
We have already seen CIDA shift priorities to the Americas, where
middle-income countries like Colombia and Peru have replaced low-income African
countries as CIDA priorities, a move aimed primarily at greasing the skids for
Canadian commercial interests. Following Prime Minister Stephen Harper's second
extended visit to the region, aid there may become an even higher priority.
The aid budget freeze announced a year ago may not last—it could actually get
worse. Like other government departments, CIDA is preparing scenarios for five
per cent and 10 per cent budget cuts. This would push Canada further down the
list of donor generosity, where we already rank 14 of 23 OECD countries.
Where multilateralism is concerned, funding has held up relatively well,
especially for international financial institutions, but the knife looms here as
well. CIDA has, in fact, increasingly left the policy leadership in this area to
the Department of Finance, which was conservative before the Conservatives.
Insiders say CIDA is planning to rework—yet again—its list of priority
countries, last rejigged only two years ago. So much for long-term partnerships
being the basis of effective foreign aid. In this regard, one might well ask
about CIDA Minister Bev Oda's magical mystery tour to Mongolia in August.
Although Mongolia is not a CIDA focus country, our mining companies have made Canada Mongolia's second largest investor
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